Republican Cuts to Medicaid Put Tennesseans' Health and Coverage at Risk
Living Blue in a Red State
[Note: This Substack post has been prepared to also run as an Opinion Piece in the Crossville Chronicle, the local newspaper. Given that the Senate version of the 2025 Budget bill may be voted on tomorrow, the post will require some modifications prior to publication approval.]
In recent months, the “Hands Off” rally and the “No Kings” rally took place in Crossville, Tennessee in front of the Courthouse. The events were peaceful and, based on unofficial counts, some 350 people attended each of the events.
These rallies, which were coordinated with similar rallies across the country, were held to bring to the attention of residents of Cumberland County the negative effects of numerous policies of the Trump Administration that are supported by Rep. John Rose (R) of the 6th Congressional District.
Ater the rallies, local on-line social trolling stated that the attendees were outside agitators who were paid to attend; that the focus was on “…supporting illegal illegals, open borders, and murderers; and that those who participated hate America.
Nothing could have been further from the truth. The participants were from Crossville and surrounding towns. All were there of their free will and no compensation was provided. After the “No Kings” rally two full carloads of food that were donated by rally participants were delivered to a local foodbank.
The Trump Administration policies that will most adversely harm residents of Cumberland County are proposed cuts to Medicaid, known in Tennessee as TennCare, and CHIP (Children’s Health Insurance Program) that are contained in the President’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” (OBBB). The bill passed the House of Representatives on May 22 by a largely party-line vote of 215-214-1. Rep. Rose voted for the bill.
These proposed cuts are not because America can’t provide for our most vulnerable; they are to help pay for the multi-trillion-dollar tax breaks for the wealthiest of Americans that are contained in the bill.
As passed, the OBBB would cut federal Medicaid payments by $880 billion over a 10-year period. These cuts would lead to stricter eligibility requirements, benefit reduction, or coverage losses for the 72 million Americans who rely on Medicaid for their health care.
According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, 1.5 million Tennesseans, representing 19% of the state’s population, are enrolled with TennCare, the state government body that administers Medicaid. In Tennessee, Medicaid covers 1 in 8 adults aged 19-64, 2 in 5 children, 4 in 7 nursing home residents, 1 in 5 Medicare beneficiaries, and 3 in 10 working-age adults with disabilities.
The Federal Government currently pays 65% of the cost of traditional Medicaid in Tennessee, with the state share being only 35%. So, who specifically would suffer in Tennessee if dramatic cuts were to be made to federal Medicaid payments as contained in the OBBB? This was recently answered in a document from the United States Senate Special Committee on Aging:
· Cut care for children. Around 42% of children are enrolled in Medicaid or CHIP. Around 43% of kids with special health needs, such as a physical or behavioral disability, depend on Medicaid.
· Block access for pregnant women and newborns. Nearly 38,000 births (46%) per year are covered by Medicaid.
· Curb health care access for people with disabilities. Medicaid covers over 316,000 people with a disability.
· Create barriers to behavioral health services. More than 96,000 Medicaid beneficiaries were treated for a substance use disorder in 2021.
· Cut coverage for Medicare beneficiaries. More than 253,000 dually-eligible Tennesseans rely on Medicaid to help pay their Medicare premiums and co-pays.
· Disrupt nursing home care. Cuts to Medicaid could disrupt care for 57% of nursing home residents who use Medicaid to pay for nursing home care.
One can feel the expected pain at a county level by looking at data from the Georgetown University McCourt School of Public Policy. Accordingly, Cumberland County, with an approximate population of 63,500, has a total Medicaid rate of 20%. The adult coverage rate stands at 13.8%, the senior Medicaid coverage rate is 14.0%, and the childhood Medicaid/CHIP coverage rate is 48.6%. These are not just statistics, they represent friends, neighbors, and family members.
SUMMARY
Those who participated in the recent rallies apparently care more about the pain that will be experienced here in Cumberland County by vulnerable people from OBBB than Rep. Rose who wrote on X on May 22 that he voted for it because: “Tennesseans are fed up with reckless spending and crushing national debt. They want a President equipped to deliver on his promises.”
[NOTE: As of today, Sunday, June 29, the Senate version of the OBBB can be expected shortly. If that is the case, additional information will need to be provided on any further changes to the Medicaid issue prior to publication.]
Hi Randy. Very compelling stats. You remind me of Paul Krugman, who offers up weekly stats that all should read, but vere few people actually do. Maybe your Op-Ed will not suffer the same fate. One thing permeating your "expose" here is something we hear little about from the Trump administration, and that is Health Care. Bernie Sander's rants ring in my head: "Health Care is a Right". Whether or not it is a "right", is it necessary to maintain health particularly of the young and the old. After chipping away and carving out the Affordable Care Act, only to have John McCain offer up the thumbs down vote, saving the ACA before he died, we still now have as our national health care for America the Affordable Care Act, you know, Obamacare. Since the Heritage Foundation could not sink it totally, the latest assault on Health Care (and one wonders why the assault?) is the OBBB. While it is not characterized in that fashion, you point out that reality. I wish Democrats would rage in the Senate and then the House by raising the question to the Trump team: " What about health care? What is your plan for Health Care for those below the poverty line (36.8 million)?, working class people and below (32% making less than $50,000 per year)? What is your Health Care Plan for a family of four who pays $35,119 for health care, paid for by their employer, when the breadwinner becomes unemployed? This is the situation faced by all those who were fired by DOGE. The bills did not stop. What is your Health Care plan for seniors who find after the OBBB that they now must vacate their senior citizen home - they must move out? To where? To move back in with their kids? I wonder if Trump voters thought they were voting to have their parents or grandparents move in with them when they voted for Donnie? Do we expect our seniors to re-enter the work force? Trump is very silent on the topic of Health Care. How about a Big Beautiful Bill for Health Care? You are talking about Tennessee. The same scenario in differing degrees is happening in every other red state. Do we expect that every Trump voter knew these stats? The typical Trump voter expected their grocery costs to come down. Has anyone gone to Costco, Wallmart or Aldi lately? Not happening; it's the opposite. Grocery costs are creeping up. Eggs may be holding at their high levels, but nuts, cookies, dairy, etc. all are increasing. At least at my Cosco. In the meantime, the OBBB will put your grandparents on the street. Is this the America we want? Is this the America promised by the Trump Administration? Did we think that WE were going to have to pay for mass deportation and a giant tax break for the rich? Uhhhh....No. We thought that savings from waste and fraud would bring prices down - not by losing SNAP, Medicaid and Medicare support. Tennesee votes say "Thank you Donald Trump, may I have another?" Thre rest of the red states seem to be followoing suit as well. And you have to wonder, why?